Consider the Latest
Chart of week May 12
Data from Monmouth University Over the last 10 years, attitudes toward climate change have changed. Several years ago, most people believed it was a very serious problem, and supported government action, but not today. Less than 50% of the public think it a very serious problem. The shift appears most evident among 18-34 year olds.…
Young voters prioritize Gaza War?
Be aware of the availability bias – its influence is widespread and can lead to poor political decisions.
Shifts among youth voters
Shifting preferences among young voters could be crucial to Biden’s reelection chances.
Does Trump Lead Biden?
Contrary to headlines, not much has changed in the presidential contest. It’s to close to call.
Charts ending 3/30/2024
Research from Deutsche Bank These two charts illustrate generations by date of birth and number of births. The last two presidents have come from the Silent Generation (Biden) and Baby Boomer Generation (Trump). Notice Generation Z represents the most births in a 15 year period. They already outnumber Baby Boomers (see below) and will catch…
Why are we so politically polarized?
The question is a common one. And it turns out, on most issues we are not polarized – including abortion.
Chart ending 3/23/2024
The chart below comes from an Axios article published last year. First, the chart answers the following question. Which party performs better (a larger margin of victory) in wealthy congressional districts versus less wealthy congressional districts? The horizontal axis shows the margin of victory in 2022 midterm congressional elections. Margins below zero represent Republican victories.…
Trump capitalizing on nostalgia about his time in office
Retrospective evaluations of past presidents are generally positive. To this point, the data show Trump is benefiting from people’s recall.
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Additional Readings to Consider:
Some of my recent columns in various newspapers
Joe Biden ended decades of GOP grip on Johnson County. Can Kamala Harris repeat it? Wichita Eagle
What’s not the matter with Kansas? Maybe we’re not voting against our own interests – Wichita Eagle
Partisan solutions on guns inadequate – Lawrence Journal World
Biden, Trump still plagued by dissent in primaries. Can either unify their party? Wichita Eagle
Biden or Trump? Maybe it’s time for a third choice, says KU professor – Wichita Eagle
Kansas is a Republican state, but there’s political space in the middle of the road – Wichita Eagle
Our gerontocracy impedes fresh ideas – Lawrence Journal World