Check out this elections spreadsheet calculator to examine the different pathways to an Electoral College victory.
As we edge closer to the fall elections, let’s consider this question: What will voter turnout be in November? The answer offers important clues about the quality of elections and the health of our democracy.
Lately, I have read and watched a surprising number of Democratic elites – politicians, pollsters, pundits and media folk – confidently promise victory. The narrative goes something like this. November marks the end of Donald Trump’s four-year reign. Joe Biden needs only to select a running mate, receive formal nomination, and run aContinue reading “Victory in November?”
Last week, Florida released a comprehensive report that summarizes many key Covid-19 statistics – including the number of hospitalizations.[i] Since the beginning of the pandemic, state hospitalization figures have been difficult to locate – some do not release the numbers. Let’s take a look at some of the key findings from Florida. FloridaContinue reading “The Impact of Age”
In the late 1960s, President Nixon popularized the term silent majority. Nixon defined the silent majority as mainstream Americans who did not join protests against the Vietnam War nor participate in public discourse. Preoccupied with a vocal minority, the news media overlooked the silent majority. President Trump believes there is a silent majority asContinue reading “Is There A Silent Majority?”
In the last post, analyses of presidential approval ratings revealed two Republican factions. A large group that strongly approved of President Trump and a smaller group that offered moderate support. What about the Democratic Party. Are they united? Or, are there divisions that Republicans could exploit? Disapproval of Trump Recall the presidential approval question: “DoContinue reading “The Democrats are United”
After witnessing several weeks of protests – and sometimes violent clashes with police, I am curious whether that energy translates into votes. Most protestors are in their late teens and 20s, an age that typically does not show well on Election Day. Will summer protests deliver young voters in November? Young protesters vote TheContinue reading “Will protestors vote?”
Will Joe Biden side with the surging progressive wing of his Party? Or, will he follow the moderate course of recent Democratic nominees? He promised to decide by early August. How to select a VP Research shows nominees balance the ticket. They look for a running mate that unifies the party and boosts chancesContinue reading “Joe Biden’s Dilemma”
It happened yet again. Captured on video, the killing of another African American man at the hands of police. The fatal encounter sparked waves of protest and violence across American cities. While a majority of Americans support on-going protests, partisan disagreement lingers over the extent of the problem. Are deaths the result of isolated actionsContinue reading “George Floyd’s death – an isolated incident or sign of broader problems?”
At the start of the pandemic, the strong hand of government eliminated social and economic freedoms, striking a new balance between individualism and government power. Today, as social and economic activity restarts, partisan tensions reappear and are growing. This signals a return of individaulism. Can the individualistic spirit thrive in this new enviornment? Can itContinue reading “A Delicate Balance – Individualism and Government Power – Part 2”