news – consider the politics

Chart of week – May 5th

Different methodologies, different poll results.

Young voters prioritize Gaza War?

Be aware of the availability bias – its influence is widespread and can lead to poor political decisions.

The presidents as threats to democracy

Biden and Trump genuine threats to democracy?

Shifts among youth voters

Shifting preferences among young voters could be crucial to Biden’s reelection chances.

Does Trump Lead Biden?

Contrary to headlines, not much has changed in the presidential contest. It’s to close to call.

The chart below comes from an Axios article published last year. First, the chart answers the following question. Which party performs better (a larger margin of victory) in wealthy congressional districts versus less wealthy congressional districts? The horizontal axis shows the margin of victory in 2022 midterm congressional elections. Margins below zero represent Republican victories.Continue reading “Chart ending 3/23/2024”

Trump capitalizing on nostalgia about his time in office

Retrospective evaluations of past presidents are generally positive. To this point, the data show Trump is benefiting from people’s recall.