Not many want him to run again, but Joe Biden will run again and like most incumbents will win the party’s nomination easily.
Category Archives: campaign
The Iron Law of Successive Elections
Will Democrats lose House seats? Of course, that’s never been in doubt. Read on and find out why a newly elected president nearly always loses House seats in midterm elections.
Should we get rid of it? Thoughts on the Electoral College – Part 2
Support for the Electoral College and the popular vote hinge on election outcomes not democratic values.
Beyond the Electoral College
Guest blogger, Paul Schumaker outlines an inventive and compelling alternative to the Electoral College.
Four surprising data points to consider as we head down the stretch
Let’s consider several data points not well publicized but could be important in the final weeks.
Keys to White House
Allan Lichtman’s Keys to the White House Prediction Model. Since 1984, he’s got it right every time. What does he say for 2020?
A month to go and the winner is?
With a month to go, see which candidate analysts predict will win the presidential contest and the Senate.
Data Bites: Black Americans’ Opinions of Police, Biden, and Democratic Party
Two recent surveys focused on Black American’s political attitudes. Several results are helpful when thinking about this fall’s elections. Written by Robert Rodriguez and Mark Joslyn
Data Bites – brief posts about public opinion. What Independents think?
Several results from a recent YouGov Survey caught my eye. Thought you might find them interesting. I examined Independent voters…