Allan Lichtman’s Keys to the White House Prediction Model. Since 1984, he’s got it right every time. What does he say for 2020?
Category Archives: elections
A month to go and the winner is?
With a month to go, see which candidate analysts predict will win the presidential contest and the Senate.
Election Polls and Prediction
Take a look at election polls and predicting election outcomes — three things to remember.
Want to reform the Electoral College? First consider this scenario.
Electoral College Expert exposes flaws in the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact
An October surprise? Asking a vaccine expert for clarification.
Will there be an October surprise – A Covid-19 vaccine by November?
Data Bites: Black Americans’ Opinions of Police, Biden, and Democratic Party
Two recent surveys focused on Black American’s political attitudes. Several results are helpful when thinking about this fall’s elections. Written by Robert Rodriguez and Mark Joslyn
Young people do not vote. Why?
On July 1, 1971 the 26th Amendment passed. This lowered the voting age from 21 to 18, adding nearly 11 million potential voters to the electorate. The 1972 presidential election remains the highest ever recorded turnout for youth voters. Why?
Data Bites – brief posts about public opinion. What Independents think?
Several results from a recent YouGov Survey caught my eye. Thought you might find them interesting. I examined Independent voters…
A Vigorous and Strong Democracy?
In my last post, I examined increases in voter turnout and concluded that American democracy appeared strong and vigorous. Critics, however, dispute this claim by comparing U.S. voter turnout to other developed countries. The comparison typically draws a much less favorable portrait of American democracy. So let’s consider that comparison. Voter turnout by countryContinue reading “A Vigorous and Strong Democracy?”
Victory in November?
Lately, I have read and watched a surprising number of Democratic elites – politicians, pollsters, pundits and media folk – confidently promise victory. The narrative goes something like this. November marks the end of Donald Trump’s four-year reign. Joe Biden needs only to select a running mate, receive formal nomination, and run aContinue reading “Victory in November?”
