Donald Trump – consider the politics

Chart of week – May 5th

Different methodologies, different poll results.

The presidents as threats to democracy

Biden and Trump genuine threats to democracy?

Shifts among youth voters

Shifting preferences among young voters could be crucial to Biden’s reelection chances.

Does Trump Lead Biden?

Contrary to headlines, not much has changed in the presidential contest. It’s to close to call.

Trump capitalizing on nostalgia about his time in office

Retrospective evaluations of past presidents are generally positive. To this point, the data show Trump is benefiting from people’s recall.

Lately, I have read and watched a surprising number of Democratic elites – politicians, pollsters, pundits and media folk – confidently promise victory. The narrative goes something like this. November marks the end of Donald Trump’s four-year reign. Joe Biden needs only to select a running mate, receive formal nomination, and run aContinue reading “Victory in November?”

The Democrats are United

In the last post, analyses of presidential approval ratings revealed two Republican factions. A large group that strongly approved of President Trump and a smaller group that offered moderate support. What about the Democratic Party. Are they united? Or, are there divisions that Republicans could exploit? Disapproval of Trump Recall the presidential approval question: “DoContinue reading “The Democrats are United”

Republican Approval of Trump: Not as High as You Think

President Trump often celebrates extraordinary high approval ratings from Republicans. Just this week, Trump wrote, “96% approval rating in the Republican Party. Thank you!” https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/status/1273095002563006472?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw Political analysts attribute the high approval to Trump’s laser-like focus on the Republican base. Over the past 3 and half years, Trump advanced business friendly deregulation policies, significant tax-cuts, appointmentContinue reading “Republican Approval of Trump: Not as High as You Think”

Loathing and Leadership

“As the president fiddles, people are dying. The president, his denial at the beginning, was deadly. The truth is a weak person, a poor leader, takes no responsibility. A weak person blames others.” Speaker of the House Pelosi commenting on President Trump’s response to the coronavirus pandemic. “Crazy Nancy Pelosi, you are a weak person. Continue reading “Loathing and Leadership”

Obama and Trump. Different but Similar – Part 2

As demonstrated in the last post, the grip of partisan politics seemed to take hold of the Obama administration near the completion of his first year. Obama’s monthly approval ratings crept down toward 50%, and by years end dropped below majority support. That trend continued, and in the subsequent months Obama established several records forContinue reading “Obama and Trump. Different but Similar – Part 2”