elections – consider the politics

Chart of week – May 5th

Different methodologies, different poll results.

The chart below comes from an Axios article published last year. First, the chart answers the following question. Which party performs better (a larger margin of victory) in wealthy congressional districts versus less wealthy congressional districts? The horizontal axis shows the margin of victory in 2022 midterm congressional elections. Margins below zero represent Republican victories.Continue reading “Chart ending 3/23/2024”

Chart of the week ending 3/16/2024

Black, Asian, and Latinos are better sorted – that is, they are matching their ideology to their vote choice/party ID. That means more members of these groups will vote for Republicans than in the past.

Evaluating Democracy by Voter Turnout

As we edge closer to the fall elections, let’s consider this question: What will voter turnout be in November? The answer offers important clues about the quality of elections and the health of our democracy.