politics – consider the politics

Chart of week May 12

Data from Monmouth University Over the last 10 years, attitudes toward climate change have changed. Several years ago, most people believed it was a very serious problem, and supported government action, but not today. Less than 50% of the public think it a very serious problem. The shift appears most evident among 18-34 year olds.Continue reading “Chart of week May 12”

Chart of week – May 5th

Different methodologies, different poll results.

Young voters prioritize Gaza War?

Be aware of the availability bias – its influence is widespread and can lead to poor political decisions.

The presidents as threats to democracy

Biden and Trump genuine threats to democracy?

Shifts among youth voters

Shifting preferences among young voters could be crucial to Biden’s reelection chances.

Does Trump Lead Biden?

Contrary to headlines, not much has changed in the presidential contest. It’s to close to call.

Chart ending 3/23/2024

The chart below comes from an Axios article published last year. First, the chart answers the following question. Which party performs better (a larger margin of victory) in wealthy congressional districts versus less wealthy congressional districts? The horizontal axis shows the margin of victory in 2022 midterm congressional elections. Margins below zero represent Republican victories.Continue reading “Chart ending 3/23/2024”

Chart of the week ending 3/16/2024

Black, Asian, and Latinos are better sorted – that is, they are matching their ideology to their vote choice/party ID. That means more members of these groups will vote for Republicans than in the past.

Will Americans Rally?

A mid-January 2020 Gallup poll showed President Trump’s approval rating at a personal best of 49 percent. Record high Republican (94%) and Independent (42%) support made it possible. By contrast, Democrat approval was a mere 7%. Obviously, the massive 87-point gap between Republican and Democratic approval received attention. In fact, the gap surpassed the previousContinue reading “Will Americans Rally?”